Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.318370 1.586898 1.916374 2.357374 2.943197 3.711154e+00 4.822968e+00
2025-01-05 0.948421 1.258421 1.694499 2.379681 3.484675 5.311201e+00 8.854536e+00
2025-01-12 0.731989 1.033169 1.496510 2.310723 3.830313 6.873905e+00 1.465623e+01
2025-01-19 0.602609 0.889911 1.362531 2.269203 4.179977 8.730626e+00 2.416533e+01
2025-01-26 0.543656 0.838580 1.356730 2.444046 5.057203 1.268366e+01 5.069507e+01
2025-02-02 0.491809 0.785677 1.330589 2.564872 5.903371 1.780100e+01 1.113108e+02
2025-02-09 0.438446 0.718689 1.259645 2.559035 6.424341 2.282474e+01 2.330212e+02
2025-02-16 0.389709 0.651403 1.172379 2.482864 6.695915 2.752585e+01 4.827823e+02
2025-02-23 0.359721 0.614625 1.140170 2.534912 7.458840 3.716441e+01 1.697086e+03
2025-03-02 0.338147 0.590671 1.130210 2.644419 8.563721 5.388102e+01 1.759539e+04
2025-03-09 0.313874 0.557564 1.092690 2.661973 9.330224 7.262838e+01 1.292509e+07
2025-03-16 0.286547 0.514552 1.024202 2.562655 9.480842 8.640856e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.272384 0.498155 1.018333 2.669521 10.890774 1.360906e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.255748 0.474391 0.990184 2.694244 11.925635 2.009946e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.236605 0.442881 0.936974 2.612684 12.223092 2.582669e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.220942 0.417485 0.895834 2.563782 12.740958 3.534272e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.216019 0.415855 0.917889 2.769648 15.648083 8.702781e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.209021 0.408527 0.922973 2.912392 18.452064 2.341509e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.198162 0.390853 0.895641 2.905486 19.821468 5.080008e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.186045 0.369013 0.853024 2.815461 20.139961 9.073919e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 0.178946 0.358710 0.843122 2.876960 22.613037 5.115033e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 0.173950 0.353059 0.846389 3.006575 26.622819 6.348362e+07 NaN
2025-06-01 0.166838 0.341420 0.829337 3.027381 29.167588 NaN NaN